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Will Apple phones be popular in this world?

Wu Wenming did not believe in himself, but he believed in Jobs.

There is no first-generation iphone, nor iphone3G and iphone3GS. The first iphone made by Wenming in this world is the fully mature fourth-generation iphone.

可以 It can be said that the iPhone, which appeared one year in advance, completely surpassed any other smart phones in this world. After the iphone4 antenna scandal was corrected by Wenming, this phone is perfect in a sense.

Therefore, before Wenming officially launched the iPhone to the market, one of the most important issues to consider is the issue of shipments.

After paying a deposit of 160 million US dollars, Wen Ming ordered a total of 2 million iphone4s. Of the 500 million US dollars Facebook was about to pay him, he only had a controlling right of 400 million US dollars. This money, he needed to pay that The final payment of 2 million iphone4 components, as well as assembly costs, transportation costs, Apple Experience Store rental and decoration costs, etc.

Previously, his financial director, Mahler Gobbie, calculated him an account, and the funds he could use were only $ 44 million. Even if he added the revenue provided by "Talking Tom Cat", it would not make him Increase shipments of iphone4.

Even if iphone4 is popular again, if sufficient supply cannot be guaranteed, the extension of the timeline will allow other mobile phone manufacturers to take advantage of it and launch similar models, which will then affect iphone4's sales.

Because the mobile phone is not a small toy, very few users own several mobile phones by themselves, and very few users have just bought a mobile phone and immediately changed it in order to like iphone4.

If you want to increase shipments, then Wenming needs capital.

那么 "So, how do you want to cooperate?"

Wen Ming looked at Teresa Roy with a smile. At this moment, Teresa Roy is in his eyes an aggregate of countless iPhones. If you can cooperate with Teresa Roy, then iphone4 The first shipments could at least double.

According to Wenming ’s pricing of iphone4, doubling it is equivalent to an extra net profit of at least US $ 400 million, and it has a very important role in preempting users and increasing the influence of iPhone, far exceeding the US $ 400 million Net profit.

Theresa Roy looked at Wenming and said very seriously: "Before telling my cooperation method, I want to know, how long do you think the sales volume of iphone exceeds 30 million?"

Wu Wenming had probably understood what Teresa meant, and it seemed that he was about to gamble again.

"I don't think it will take more than a year."

答案 This answer is actually a bit conservative. The reason why the previous iPhone 4 only had more than 40 million global sales is entirely because there were still three generations of iPhones that took away some market share. Not all mobile phone users are pursuing the latest mobile phones every year.

In this world, there are no previous three generations of iPhones.

However, being conservative also has the advantage of being conservative, not to mention, Wen Ming's being conservative is crazy enough for others.

Theresa Roy asked again: "So, how much does this iPhone cost? What is its pricing?"

Wenming replied: "Its hardware cost is less than $ 300, and we are going to launch two iPhones with different memory levels, the pricing is 499 and 599 respectively. That is to say, even if we give it to agents for sale, the iPhone Hardware profits can also reach 40%. "

Teresa Roy quickly settled this account. Although he didn't understand mobile phones, he also suggested in the analysis report that increasing the amount of memory on the total cost has little effect. Wen Ming said that the 40% hardware profit, It's totally reasonable.

In this case, if 30 million units can be sold, it is equivalent to a total revenue of US $ 14.97 billion and a profit of US $ 5.988 billion.

公司 A company with annual revenue of US $ 14.97 billion, can it be valued at US $ 100 billion?

I certainly can't.

But what if this company can make a profit of $ 5.988 billion?

Teresa Roy sighed and said, "I have only seen Nokia's financial statements last year. Their revenue last year reached 50.7 billion euros, equivalent to $ 60.5 billion. However, their net income was only 3 billion Dollars. "

Because of the global financial crisis in 2008, all industries have been affected, so Nokia's revenue and net profit have dropped a lot compared with 2007.

无论 However, no matter how much it fell, the proportion of its revenue and net profit did not change much.

"Nokia ’s net profit is only 5% of total revenue, and you want to get 40% of net profit. And this is only hardware profit. My analyst told me that the system used by your iphone is a The brand-new mobile phone system is likely to be an exclusive mobile phone system. Then, how much profit will the software have? "

Theresa Roy reluctantly said, "Now, I really think you are a lunatic."

Wu Wenming is very innocent. I am not a lunatic. It is Jobs who plays like this. Otherwise, how could he rely on the iphone series and account for 91% of the global smartphone hardware hardware profit?

那么 "Would you like to cooperate with me, a lunatic?"

Theresa Roy laughed suddenly, and said, "I'm old now, and if I'm not crazy, I won't have a chance."

Wu Wenming looked at Teresa Roy, and Teresa Roy smiled.

闻 "Wen Ming, I hope you can sign a gambling agreement with me."

Gambling agreements are common in the investment market. Many investors will sign gambling agreements with those entrepreneurs. If the conditions are met, then the entrepreneurs can get a lot of profits. Everything will become an investor.

Teresa Roy said: "With the official release of the iPhone, the time limit is one year and one month. You cannot change the price we have agreed on or reduce the quality of the iPhone. If you agree, we will Need to discuss slowly. "

"My bet condition is that if the iPhone cannot reach 30 million global sales during this time, then your Facebook shares, your Apple company, and all the iPhone's technology patents, including the system it uses It's all mine. "

Wu Wenming laughed, and he understood that the most valuable part of this gambling agreement was not Apple, nor Facebook shares, but the technologies used by the iPhone.

Previously, Teresa Roy did not mention these technologies, which does not mean that his analysts did not see the value of those technologies. Just the cooperation of the ios system and the iPhone hardware can open the iPhone market. Although it is not necessarily able to generate 30 million sales a year, it can definitely succeed.

所以 "So, should I make a condition now?"

Wu Wenming looked at Teresa Roy, who was laughing again, and felt that the other party was extremely ready to steal a fox.

"I need you to solve the cost of 8 million iphones for me and increase the first shipment of iphones to 10 million units ~ www.novelmtl.com ~ Wenming has little face in front of those hardware vendors, but Tai Lei Sharoy has, he only needs a small deposit to enable those hardware vendors to produce the iPhone 4 components for Apple.

Because Teresa Roy's worth is close to 10 billion U.S. dollars, and the additional 8 million iphone4, the total cost is only 2.4 billion U.S. dollars, and because of the large amount, the cost can be further reduced.

In other words, Theresa Roy doesn't have to pay out $ 2.4 billion in cash directly.

After I made my own request, Wenming also needed to say what she was going to pay.

"If the iPhone sold 30 million units worldwide in the time agreed between you and me, then you can choose to repay the balance of the 8 million iPhones for me, and then invest a total investment of US $ 2.4 billion in a valuation of 150 billion shares. US dollar. "

或者 "Or, if you choose to pay the balance by me, then you will receive a cash return of about $ 300 million."

Speaking of his own conditions, Wenming hoped that Teresa Roy would choose the latter. It seems that the interest of 300 million US dollars is very high, because Teresa Roy's investment is impossible to be 2.4 billion U.S. dollars, maybe only 20%. The left and right deposits are $ 480 million in cash.

With an investment of USD 480 million, it is incredible to earn USD 300 million in interest in a year.

But for Wenming, if all goes well, the additional 8 million iPhones can provide him with at least $ 1.59 billion in hardware profits, only hardware profits, if calculating software profits ...

"Mr. Roy, please tell me your choice, join or reject, the former or the latter?"