Chapter 393 390.Future and present

   "The second item is similar to Go, but relatively simpler." Cao Yang said, "You have been playing board games for so many years. I think the second topic is—

  Study the AI ​​in Doudizhu, so that the network opponent that the player matches can not tell whether it is a real person or the AI ​​is considered successful. "

  Cao Yang smiled and said: “After the development of artificial intelligence to a certain extent, it can become a weapon in the game industry.

  For example, playing Doudizhu in a board game, it is very likely that the opponent you encounter is not a real human, but a computer, but they simulate the way humans play cards, so you can’t tell the truth from the fake.

  The advantage of doing this is—

  First, when the number of players in the game is relatively small, injecting a certain amount of AI into the game can provide players with a good experience.

  For example, deliberately losing to players, so that they can enjoy the joy of winning.

  Secondly, it is used to recycle money.

  Chess and card games want to make money, mainly by recycling money. From the perspective of the broader market, if real players of Doudizhu lose more money than they win, then the platform will have to make money.

  AI is a relatively implicit control method, and it can also make the platform give people a [very lively] illusion, so whoever masters the AI ​​technology first will master the development direction of future games. "

  ...

   Liu Guangran was shocked by Boss Cao’s thoughts.

  Simply...

  Except for the old and cunning, Liu Guangran could not find a more suitable word to describe him.

  No wonder people are the boss, thinking of making money is so different... Liu Guangran hasn't thought about the future application scenarios of artificial intelligence, so Boss Cao actually thought it out for him in advance.

"Um…"

   Liu Guangran followed Cao Yang's thoughts and thought.

  "This approach is equivalent to using a computer to simulate human behavior. Doudizhu is very suitable for this topic, and it is even much less complex than Go.

  The only requirement is to deal with the timeliness of the network.

  From the package delivery to the server background calculation, the total corresponding time will not exceed 5 seconds, which is more in line with human behavior. "

The difficulty is a little bit different from the focus of Go, but it is relatively close to the cloud computing they are studying now. Through a large number of server groups in a short period of time, a relatively reasonable result is obtained, and then returned To the client.

  The complexity of Doudizhu is much lower than that of Go, and it can be regarded as a relatively good artificial intelligence research topic.

  Cao Yang smiled calmly.

  In fact, he asked Liu Guangran to study Doudizhu AI, but it doesn’t mean he can use it.

  After all, there are a lot of people in Bomi chess and card games, and there is no need to use AI to fill them, let alone using AI to recycle currency. The greatest fun of chess and card games lies in fairness.

  If anyone knows that Bomi uses AI to control the outcome of board and card games, then word-of-mouth will definitely plummet. Then it won’t be a problem of currency recycling. Maybe you want to recycle games.

  Cao Yang did not do this, it does not mean that no one did it. Some board games in the previous life did this, so the dealer basically wins.

  But before it was discovered, in fact, it is fair for everyone to see it.

  On the basis of ensuring fairness, it is not impossible to use AI to give players a profit.

For example, for some players with particularly dark faces, you can give them two AIs to cooperate with him to win some in the next battle of the landlord matching process, to improve and improve the experience, which will also help the user's retention. Don't always lose and be beaten. .

  For some players who have been winning money, occasionally controlling their winning rate will also help them enjoy the fun of winning and losing the game.

  But it’s the same principle—

If the number of players in the game is large enough, AI will not be used at all. Once a player finds out that the official backend controls the data, then the reputation of the game platform will be lost. Although Cao Yang is very confident in his company’s confidentiality and data security, It is always a hidden danger, and this thing is just to help Liu Guangran and them better research topics.

  It is relatively easier to start with Doudizhu.

  ...

   "Forget it," Cao Yang shook his head and said, "You should stop being the AI ​​of Doudizhu, and be a bridge player."

   "Uh..." Liu Guangran was full of black lines. Why did it change in just a few minutes?

   "And boss, we don't have bridge in the game now."

  The rules of bridge are much more complicated than ordinary chess and card games. It is a two-on-two competitive intelligence game. In this process, it is necessary to guess the opponent's cards through mathematical calculations. In fact, it is a test of people's mental arithmetic ability.

  Because of this, the audience of bridge is very small. Many chess and card game halls do not do bridge, nor does Bomi.

  "Boss, I want to be the landlord of Doudi. Doudizhu is easier than bridge."

   "Almost." Cao Yang frowned and said, "It is mainly because of fairness. I just thought about it carefully. The board games launched by Bomi are very fair, because only fair players are willing to play.

  If we make Doudizhu’s AI, even if we don’t use it in the future, we will give it to others. When the media and competitors in related industries rely on this to slander the fairness of our game, it will not be worth the loss.

  Regular casinos are disdainful of paying thousands. "

Um…

  Liu Guangran felt very uncomfortable, and he could not refute the key reason for the boss Cao.

  ...

  Cao Yang lowered his head and thought, first start with chess and card games, and gradually make game AI. This is a relatively silky transition method.

  Many of the AI ​​in the game is implemented through behavior trees or triggers.

  The so-called behavior tree is planning to determine the behavior mode of the monster through various preconditions according to the user's behavior.

  This kind of behavior tree has a fixed pattern, which is equivalent to planning to use the behavior tree to write code, for example:

  The AI ​​logic of a remote monster discovering a person may look like this:

  1. The monster itself detects whether the player is in the field of vision, if it is, then enter 2

  2. Determine the distance between the player and the monster itself, if it is greater than 300 meters, enter 3, otherwise enter 4

  3. Determine your own blood volume, if the blood volume exceeds 50%, shoot the player, otherwise enter 5

  4. Determine your own blood volume, if the blood volume exceeds 50%, then use melee attacks on the player, otherwise enter 5

  5. Turn around and run away

A fixed AI logic is easy to be understood by the player, just like the BOSS battle in World of Warcraft, what to do in each stage is fixed, and the order is similar, although it will be affected by the player’s behavior to a certain extent. But it always gives people a very routine and low IQ feeling.

   is still far from true artificial intelligence.

  Cao Yang said with a smile, “Of course, my goal is to achieve real anthropomorphic behavior in the game. The judgment abilities of these AIs will have different personality characteristics.

  For example, the reckless player AI will occasionally make some small mistakes in the game. The cautious player AI may wait until you get on first before following him. Of course, there is also a perfect AI...

  The more the AI ​​in these games resembles real people, the richer the experience for the players. "

In fact, in all online games, there are such prosperity and decline. The main reason for decline is often not that the game is not interesting, but that some people have left the game for various reasons, resulting in the number of active players in the game. Decrease, once it falls below a certain critical point, there will be a phenomenon of [the game is cold] [no one is playing], leading to the loss of a large portion of players.

  The fewer the number of daily active players and the fewer interactive behaviors, the more you will feel that the game is not fun.

  In fact, a large part of the fun of online games comes from the social behavior of players.

  Fighting with people is fun, and the game will naturally cool down without people.

Therefore, Cao Yang’s future goal is to be when Bomi’s artificial intelligence technology is relatively mature, it can provide a basic model of AI like a game engine, and then change it according to the different needs of different games, and let AI simulate player behavior , Can greatly extend the life of the game.

  Although you don’t know whether to say hello to you every day, ambiguous, whether the sister paper of the next copy exists in reality, but you get happiness in the game.

  Of course, this kind of AI is still in the early stages of artificial intelligence applications.

  Even if they can pass the Turing test, it does not mean that they have real human thoughts and emotions, so there will be no ethical issues involved.

  A virtual artificial intelligence that accompanies the game in the game. She has no feelings and will not die, but she is meaningful. Her biggest meaning is to provide players with companionship and extend the life of the game.

  In the future, the application prospects of artificial intelligence will be more extensive, such as smart home appliances, automatic cars...

   is the era of [Internet of Things] in the next 20 years, all things can be connected to the Internet, and all things can interact.

  Artificial intelligence related technologies will first be applied in the Internet industry, and then gradually spread to other industries. Therefore, from the perspective of big development prospects, the development prospects of artificial intelligence related fields are still very broad.

   and more likely—

  As the demographic dividend disappears in the future, some related non-creative industries will be replaced by artificial intelligence.

  Humans can be liberated to do more creative and valuable things.

  Artificial intelligence should be the outlet for the next productivity explosion. When artificial intelligence is popularized in all walks of life, the total value of human wealth will greatly increase.

   is more beneficial to the whole society and the people.

  ...

When Cao Yang discussed this topic with his colleagues in the previous life, many people maintained a relatively pessimistic attitude and were frightened by the word "replacement". Therefore, the emergence and rapid development of artificial intelligence will inevitably bring about a period of panic, because Replacement means unemployment for many people.

  If you are unemployed, you will not have enough to eat, and your purchasing power will decrease.

   But in fact, these worries are unnecessary.

  First of all, the development of productivity must be a rapid increase in the total wealth of society. When the tide rises, the people's income level will also increase substantially.

Many professions have actually disappeared in the long history. For example, operators. Many children born after 00 don’t know what operators do. In fact, as early as the invention of the telephone, communication technology was far less advanced than it is now. You want to make calls to others. , You have to transfer through the operator first, and the operator will help you connect.

  But later, with the development of mobile device technology, the country’s network construction was developed, and the operators disappeared.

  In addition, there are train conductors, bus conductors...

  Many occupations are slowly being eliminated. There is a process in the process. Those who are replaced and laid off will definitely have better arrangements.

  To put it bluntly, artificial intelligence is just a tool, and the key lies in who the winners are.

  In a country dominated by the people, the development of productive forces must serve the people, so Cao Yang is not worried about problems in developing artificial intelligence.

  When artificial intelligence benefits the people, many people no longer have to do some high-risk or repetitive jobs, such as miners, factory workers...

   Future generations can enjoy the fruits of intelligent civilization. They can engage in more artistic work such as music, painting, writing, etc. at home, and they can also have more time and wealth to do what they like.

  These are all bright futures that can be looked forward to.

  Only by the vigorous development of productive forces, can we realize the real prosperity of the whole people.

  ...

  It's just that this time may be a bit long, and the total transition period may take half a century or even longer.

  Cao Yang is already satisfied with seeing the first half of the journey of artificial intelligence in his lifetime.

   Boss Cao and Liu Guangran were thinking about the future in the boss’s office.

  About half an hour later, the two people stopped the topic of [Future].

  It is really exciting to think of the tremendous changes that future technology can bring to mankind.

  After talking with Cao Yang, Liu Guangran was full of energy as if he had been beaten with blood.

  Think about it, if there is one day in the future, when the whole people enter the era of intelligence, maybe Liu Guangran will still get the title of the father of artificial intelligence in China.

  It’s not that he was the first to study artificial intelligence, but Liu Guangran felt that he might be the first to pass the Turing test.

  Turing test is a method used to test whether a machine has human intelligence:

A person conducts a series of questions and answers with the other party in a special way without contacting the other party. If he cannot determine whether the other party is a human or a computer based on these questions for a long time, then he can consider this The computer has the same intelligence as a human, that is, the computer can think.

  This is the famous "Turing Test".

  The country has a thriller called "Mechanic Ji", which is about topics related to the Turing Test.

  "Boss, if there is no third topic, I will go back and study it with my colleagues, and start to roll up my sleeves."

   "The third topic is an extension of these two," Cao Yang said, "I want to be a chat AI, as long as most humans can't tell whether it is a real person or not."

  Good fellow, what do you want?

   Boss Cao really looks up to me.

  Liu Guangran feels a little overwhelmed...

  The international mainstream now basically uses the model of big data + deep learning.

   In short, it is the question sea tactics: Although AI does not know why it answers this way, the data shows that most humans answer this way, so it also makes similar answers.

  As for the Turing test, according to the current situation, if you can accumulate a sufficient amount of communication data, you may still be able to achieve the pass.

  Such achievements are more meaningful in academic achievement than practical.

  ...

  The two people communicated. Although Liu Guangran believed that the academic value of chatting AI was far greater than the use value, Cao Yang did not think so.

   "As long as you can do this, I can make this chat software make money, believe it or not?" Cao Yang said.

   "I believe, of course I believe."

   Liu Guangran immediately acknowledged the counsel, leaving Cao Yang no sense of accomplishment.

In fact, Boss Cao has already envisioned the application scenarios of chat AI. In the future, when Liu Guangran and the others can really develop this set of chat AI, Cao Yang will use a special artistic way to announce it to the world and let the world All see the charm of artificial intelligence.

  Artificial intelligence will not be in place in one step, but Cao Yang has already figured out the applications and ways of making money at each stage of development. Now it only needs Liu Guangran and the others to be able to work harder and try to compress the cycle of results.

  ...

   "Suddenly, do you think it is possible for us in the future to one day be able to truly create an AI that can think independently?"

  According to Cao Yang's idea, the current big data + deep learning algorithm model will sooner or later meet the requirements of the Turing test from the results, but this does not mean that AI will really think independently.

  If there is Turing 2.0, Cao Yang thinks that we need to add [Creation]

When will artificial intelligence be able to make things that are not available in human history and modern processes, they even know how to ask: who am I, who created me, and where will I go, then artificial intelligence at this time can be considered in the true sense intelligent.

"It's difficult." Liu Guangran said, "Human thinking mode is not either one or the other. The current computer structure is very simple and rude with 0 and 1. When the machine can produce an intermediate state, that is, it is physically uncertain. When it comes to sex, computers will have the foundation for intelligence."

Um…

  Two people fell silent at the same time.

  After a while, Cao Yang shook his head, “If you pull it far, you will be far away. The future will be done by people in the future. Let’s do it now.”

  The topics they discussed today are far beyond this era, and even beyond the era in which Cao Yang lived in his previous life.

  A good helm can see what will happen in the next 5 years, it is already great, and it is impossible for Cao Yang to see what it will be like in the next 40 years and 50 years.

  ...

  Now that several topics have been discussed, it is time for Liu Guangran to leave the boss’s office.

  "After you go out, call Brother Yun." Cao Yang said.

  If Liu Guangran is responsible for the future, then Li Lanyun is responsible for the present.

  Cao Yang has imagined the future, and now he has to return to the present.

  ...

  (End of this chapter)

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