Earth Era

Chapter 49: odds of survival

"Before, we have been keeping in touch with the satellite, but just now... the scheduled time has passed, and we have never received a reply from the satellite. We have not been able to determine what happened, we are trying to A second communication request to the satellite..." the staff member muttered.

Launching a spacecraft is a risky business. Because in that vast space, you have no way of knowing what exactly is going to happen there. Not only are there threats from the external environment, but a small glitch inside the instrument could cost an entire expensive satellite. Because it's space, there's no way you can fix it the way you fix your computer at home.

It is very common for spacecraft to fail and temporarily lose contact. In the history of human beings stepping into space, there are many such incidents. But this time the missing satellite has some unusual implications. Because its timing was so coincidental that people lost contact with it just when people predicted that the solar wind was about to arrive.

This can't help but make some terrible associations in Zhao Huasheng's heart. For example, the strength of the solar wind exceeds the upper limit of the satellite's design, so when it comes into contact with the solar wind, it is instantly reimbursed by the solar wind.

But... the nearest satellite is still 60 million kilometers away from the sun. If the solar wind is strong enough to instantly destroy a satellite at such a distance... Then, the distance from the sun is only 30 million kilometers. How powerful will the Crimson Heart spaceship be?

"Continue to try to contact the satellite, and at the same time, pay close attention to the status of the second satellite." Zhao Huasheng suppressed his anxiety and gave instructions to the researcher.

The second solar exploration satellite is 67 million kilometers away from the sun, which is 7 million kilometers more than the first satellite. If the first satellite is really destroyed by the solar wind, then the second satellite will also be affected by the solar wind between three and five hours, according to estimates of the speed of the solar wind.

Time is still waiting quietly to pass. The first satellite seemed to evaporate, and no matter how hard the ground crew tried to contact it, no one heard back. The second satellite has maintained normal operation.

Three hours and fifty minutes later, the second satellite also mysteriously disappeared. Ground crews have never heard from the satellite again.

And the time period of three hours and fifty minutes is within the time range of three to five hours.

"Then we can basically be sure." Zhao Huasheng murmured: "Even if it is 67 million kilometers away, the intensity of this solar wind burst is still strong enough to destroy a satellite."

"In this direction of the sun, we have a third satellite, and the distance from the sun is 69 million kilometers." A researcher said: "According to previous calculations about the solar wind, this satellite will be in about an hour. Then it is affected by the solar wind. The other satellites are on the side or the back of the sun, so they cannot observe this solar wind burst, and they will not be affected by this solar wind burst."

Zhao Huasheng rubbed his forehead tiredly and said: "Continue to try to contact the first and second satellites, and at the same time, pay close attention to the situation of the third satellite. Also... I want you to check the second satellite immediately. The upper limit of the intensity of the solar wind that it can withstand, and the upper limit is used as the basis for the intensity of the solar wind to calculate the impact it may have on the Crimson Heart spacecraft."

"Okay." Another researcher agreed, and immediately started relevant calculations.

The solar wind strength that a satellite can withstand is limited, that is to say, when the solar wind strength reaches a certain limit, the satellite will inevitably be destroyed. And now the satellite has been destroyed by the solar wind. Then it may be assumed that the intensity of the solar wind is exactly at this upper limit position. Now, with the intensity parameters and distance parameters of the solar wind, the staff can already start the calculation.

The calculation result will come out soon. The researcher reported to Zhao Huasheng: "If the solar wind intensity in this solar eruption is calculated based on the upper limit of the solar wind that the second satellite can withstand, the probability of the Crimson Heart spacecraft surviving this event is …26 percent. This solar storm may or may not have destroyed the spacecraft. It is somewhere between a serious threat and an immediate destruction. There are many other factors that may affect the specifics ."

"Is it only 26 percent?" Zhao Huasheng said silently, his mood became heavy again.

Don't forget, the solar wind strength value used by this researcher is only the upper limit that the satellite can withstand. Assuming that the satellite can withstand a solar storm with a strength of one, and more than one will be destroyed, then the possible range of the strength of the true solar wind is too large, it may be any strength from one to infinity. This also means that the researcher is likely to underestimate the true solar wind strength. Therefore, in reality, the survival probability of the Crimson Heart spacecraft is lower than 26%. As for how low it is, it is impossible to estimate now.

Another hour passed while waiting. The researcher in charge of monitoring the condition of the third satellite suddenly exclaimed: "The third satellite has monitored an extremely strong solar storm, and its circuit boards, computing modules, and some other components have been seriously affected... No, the communication module is also affected, we can't maintain normal communication with it... I'm starting the backup communication system... OK, the backup communication system is successfully activated, but the signal quality is very poor, we still can't communicate normally..."

Zhao Huasheng immediately asked, "The third satellite has detected the solar wind? Did you measure the intensity?"

"The strength has not been measured, and its related components seem to have been damaged. I am still further confirming the specific situation... But it has not been completely destroyed, and it still barely maintains the ability to work."

"That's good." Zhao Huasheng nodded, "Then take the upper limit of the solar storm's intensity as the upper limit of the third satellite, and the lower limit of the solar storm as the upper limit of the solar storm's intensity. Calculate the possible impact on the Scarlet Heart spacecraft."

With the second data, the calculation of the survival probability of the Crimson Heart spacecraft is much more accurate. The researcher quickly calculated this data: "Under the impact of solar storms within this range, the survival probability of the Crimson Heart spacecraft is between 17% and 26%. "

Zhao Huasheng exhaled softly. This number is quite accurate. Even if the solar storm comes to the earth, and the strength of the solar wind is accurately measured by the relevant instruments on the earth, the final calculation result of the survival probability of the Crimson Heart spacecraft will inevitably fall in this value. within the value range. This number is too precise and does not make much sense, the current precision is sufficient.

"The solar storm will reach Earth in about a day or so and is expected to last more than a few hours. Even if the Crimson Heart spacecraft survives the solar storm, it is unlikely that we will be able to get in touch with the spacecraft. The interference is too great. Then... let's wait for the solar storm to pass, and whether the Crimson Heart spacecraft is dead or alive will be revealed at that time."

Zhao Huasheng rubbed his forehead and left the control hall. Standing outside the hall, letting the cold wind blow on him, Zhao Huasheng felt that his brain was much cooler.

Zhao Huasheng raised his head and looked in the direction of the sun. The sun has returned to its dimming, and it is the same as before. But only Zhao Huasheng and a limited number of people know what thrilling stories have happened above and near the sun in the past few days.

"There should be an aurora tomorrow." Zhao Huasheng murmured, "Since the solar radiation has decreased, there has never been an aurora on the earth. Now, because of the solar storm, this will appear again on the earth. Such a view."

The aurora is undoubtedly beautiful and spectacular. Zhao Huasheng has always wanted to take a look. He didn't see it when he went to the North Pole last time. Now, it has been confirmed that there will be an aurora tomorrow, but Zhao Huasheng is no longer in the mood to see it. UU reading www.uukanshu.com

"The Crimson Heart, and the astronauts... I hope you are all well, I am still on the earth waiting for you to come back and drink with me..." Zhao Huasheng finished this sentence silently in his heart, then turned around and returned to his own rest. inside the room. Zhao Huasheng, who has been highly stressed for a long time, is really tired and needs a rest.

Strong solar storms will affect many instruments and equipment on the earth, but fortunately it can be predicted. As early as yesterday, the government had received an early warning and was ready to respond, so although this solar storm is strong, it probably won't have any impact on the Earth's mainland. Even if there is an impact, it is within the acceptable range.

The solar storm finally came to Earth. In addition to bringing an extremely gorgeous, almost shocking aurora show to the earth, it also damaged several satellites, damaged some power grid equipment, and other miscellaneous things before disappearing.

The sun regained its calm, and at this time, the No. 1 control base began to try to call the Crimson Heart spacecraft for the first time.

"This is the ground control base, the Crimson Heart spacecraft, can you hear it? If you hear it, please answer, please answer..."

PS: Rainbow has a WeChat official account~ The official account is caihongzhimen1990. Rainbow will update some super battleships or extra stories of the Earth Era on the official account, explain some terms involved in the book, and communicate some dynamic exchanges of works, etc. Information update, welcome everyone to come and pay attention! At present, the update of the super battleship side article "The Escape of the Lizardman" has begun. Come and pay attention to the rainbow!

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